William (Bill) Swan Publications

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William (Bill) Swan

Airline Industry Related papers and talks by William Swan
Author's Note: If you click on the various texts, your computer will download and open either a word document or a set of power-point slides. (Some slides have significant content in the notes pages.) Some of these are finished documents, some are fragments, are just plain incomplete. In many cases the same basic research has been recycled into various presentations. All of this research is here to be shared. If you like, you can contact the author at bill.swan@cyberswans.com. If you are from a university, please know that the author generally accepts invitations to present any of this work to students and faculty, provided transportation costs are paid. If you are from a for-profit company or government agency, the author is available for consulting at the rate of US$1,600 per day, plus travel expenses. However, he is happily retired, so he is not actively trying to drum up work, but happy to be involved in anything that is interesting.

 

Abstracts and CV
Abstracts
CV of William Swan
CV (ppt)
Forecasting Air Travel Demand
Forecasting (abstract)
Forecasting (slides)
Forecasting Asia Open Skies
Gravity (model) Does Not Work
Fare Patterns and Trends
Fare Trends (abstract)
Fare Trends (paper)
Fare Trends (slides)
Fares In Connecting Markets
Value of Nonstop Service
By Pass Routes (slides)
Nonstops Stimulate (paper)
Value of a Nonstop (slides)
How Airlines Compete - a game
How Airlines Compete (abstract)
How Airlines Compete (paper)
How Airlines Compete (slides 2007)
Consolidation in the Airline Industry
Consolidation (abstract)
Consolidation (paper)
Consolidation (slides)
Airplane Trip Costs
Airplane Costs (paper)
Airplane Costs (slides - simple)
Airplane Costs (slides - edgy)
Turn Times, Speed, and Ownership Costs
Turn Times vs Size and Distance
Adjusting Utilization for Turns or Speed
Turn vs Ownership Chart
Fuel Hedging Fundamentals
Fuel Hedging (abstract)
Fuel Hedging (paper)
Airplane Noise
Noise (abstract)
Noise Impact by Aircraft Size
Noise Per Seat (slides)
Add Frequency, Reduce Noise
Airports
Everybody's Interface, nobody's system
Route Networks
History of Route Development
Hubs
Congestion (slides)
Airline Evolution
Evolution Talk
Misunderstandings Talk
Industry Misunderstandings (slides)
Misunderstandings (paper)
Fleet Planning
Fleet Planning (abstract)
Fleet Planning (slides)
RJs-Smaller than you Think
Spill Model papers and talks by William Swan
Spill Model Introduction
Spill Model Introduction (slides)
Spill Model Technical (paper)
Spill Algebra
Demand Distributions for Spill and Revenue Management
K-Factor values for Spill Model
C-Factor values for Spill Model
First Class Spill
Spill Model for 3 Cabins
Excel Spill Functions
Excel Spill for 3 different Airplanes
Excel Spill Table
Excel for 3 cabin spill

Revenue Management Documents
Author's Note: Much of the Revenue Management articles are very old and I have not looked at it for a long time. However, the last time I looked, it was still correct on the fundamentals. And I find that some of these articles that were advanced and adventurous long ago have become mainstream and are undoubtedly better presented elsewhere. At the time I was working on Revenue Management, I was not using PowerPoint, so the slide shows are in Word!
Pricing & RM (slides, Word doc)
Pricing & RM (slides, Word shorter doc)
Pricing and Revenue Management (slides ppt)
Pricing & RM (slides Part 1)
Pricing & RM (slides Part 2a)
Pricing & RM (slides Part 2b)
Forecasting for Revenue Management
Forecasting Biases
Distributions for Rev Management Demand
Variances for Rev Management
Variances for Rev Mgt Demands (Word slides)
Bid Pricing for Revenue Management Networks
Future Bid Pricing
Nesting Revenue Management Buckets
Rev Mgt Buckets form a Decision Tree
Rev Mgt Decision Trees
Overbooking (slides)
Overbooking (doc)